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The main measures are known for this summer

The Government wants to avoid that does not happen again the dark episode in 2002-2004. The failure of growth coupled with the skid of the expenses of health insurance was translated by a degradation unprecedented social security accounts: in three years, the general scheme was passed the balance to a deficit of 12 billion euros. It does indeed never actually relied.

This time, despite the brutal reversal of the situation, the Government wants to contain the deficit of social auditors to EUR 8.6 billion in 2009, almost at the same level as the 8.9 billion expected this year. Would a real challenge when it is known that the payroll, which are collected from the contributions, not increase 3.5 next year, a point less than in 2008. Without new measure, the deficit reached EUR 15 billion, provides Bercy.

The Government must explain today how it intends to send to stabilize the deficit by introducing the Act of financing of social security for 2009. The main measures are known for this summer. The Executive has more than 3 billion euros of new recipes, bringing the total to EUR 317 billion. The new tax on mutual and insurance will earn 1 billion, on the engagement and participation (2) some 400 million. Pension contributions will also and especially increase by 0.3 point next year, which will bring 1.8 billion euros.

The health plan industry

Another important measure, the amortization of the debt of the social security (Cades) Fund will resume the entire debt accumulated by the disease and old age, branches of the old age (FSV) Solidarity Fund, is EUR 27 billion. The general scheme will thus be financial costs 1.1 billion economy. The Cades will fund this burden with a puncture on the VSF (CSG) resources, taking particular dependant contributions retirement of the unemployed. At the time, it should be in deficit in 2009 to around 800 million euros, while he was back in green since 2007. Trade unions may not appreciate.

From the side of the expenditure, savings measures will weigh on the domestic disease, to save 2 billion euros in 2009 in crushing the requirements of physicians, by improving the productivity of the hospital, containing refunds of drugs and by fighting against fraud. Total Medicare expenditures shall not advance more than 3.3. This ambitious objective, if achieved, will enable branch disease continue its recovery started in 2005: the deficit for 2009 is expected to EUR 3.4 billion, 4 billion in 2008 (see chart above).

Black point is the old-age insurance. The deficit is forecast at 5 billion euros next year, despite the increase in contributions and the payment of about 500 million by the family branch will, at the time, switch in the Red 200 million after two years of surpluses. The general pension scheme accounts degrade mechanically EUR 1.5 billion per year with the arrival of the generations of the baby boom at the age of retirement. In 2009, the CNAV will be more adversely affected by the adjustment of pensions on April 1, which will be more important to offset the high inflation in 2008. Structural became the pensions deficit complicates the return to the balance of social security, now referred to 2012.